Udinese 0-1 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.22
6+ Goals
11%
21.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.22 — our 24% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.33
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
11%
4.12
X/2
10%
9.11
X/X
14%
4.29
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
13%
7.89
2/X
7%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.61/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.40
-13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.7 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Udinese
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.64 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
323 Passes 228
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.01.2025 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
20.04.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-0 HT 0-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
03.12.2023 Udinese Udinese 3-3 HT 2-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
30.01.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 1-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
03.10.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
13.02.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4-0 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
0-1
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.53 xG 0.35
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
446 Passes 197
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 8
9 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona edged past Udinese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Udinese at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Udinese had 64% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 36%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.53 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Udinese and 1.67 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Hellas Verona?

Udinese 0-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Udinese 44%, draw 28%, Hellas Verona 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✗ BTTS Yes
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