Torino 1-0 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
21.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 32% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
6%
8.47
X/X
19%
4.17
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
7.13
2/X
5%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.26/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.52
-28% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.6 Crosses 16.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Empoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.57 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
372 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
24.09.2024 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTK
06.04.2024 Empoli Empoli 3-2 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
16.12.2023 Torino Torino 1-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
28.01.2023 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
09.10.2022 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
1-0
AWAY Empoli
0.63 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
253 Passes 234
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Torino vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino edged past Empoli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Torino found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torino had 51% of the ball to Empoli's 49%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.63 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torino and 1.33 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Torino vs Empoli?

Torino 1-0 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Torino 40%, draw 32%, Empoli 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
15 Mar 2025
17:00 Udinese vs Hellas Verona Analysis →
17:00 Monza vs Parma Analysis →
20:00 Milan vs Como Analysis →