Osnabrück 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2025

Osnabrück
0-1 HT 0-1
Arminia Bielefeld
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
13%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.77
1/2
6%
24.7
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.84
X/2
16%
5.05
X/X
13%
4.8
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
22%
2.98
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osnabrück v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.17/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.82
-8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
27.4 Crosses 24.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 1.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 Passes 482
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
17.05.2020 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
07.10.2019 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
18.02.2015 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-4 HT 0-3 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
09.08.2014 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 HT 1-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
11.05.2013 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3

Osnabrück 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
0-1
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
315 Passes 178
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld edged past Osnabrück 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osnabrück had 60% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 40%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osnabrück and 1.83 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Osnabrück 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 33%, draw 23%, Arminia Bielefeld 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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