Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Dynamo Dresden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
15%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.23
1/2
5%
23.4
1/X
8%
12.0
X/1
10%
6.69
X/2
13%
5.58
X/X
12%
5.05
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.18
2/X
7%
11.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.26/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.97
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-3 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
24.02.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-2 HT 1-2 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
01.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 3-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
08.04.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
15.10.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
01.04.2005 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-1
AWAY Dynamo Dresden
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 13
201 Passes 334
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 26
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Dynamo Dresden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen and Dynamo Dresden shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 40% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden's 60%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 1.67 for Dynamo Dresden.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Dynamo Dresden?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Dynamo Dresden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Dynamo Dresden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 36%, draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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