Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2025

Borussia Dortmund II
1-1 HT 0-0
Viktoria Köln
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Borussia Dortmund II vs Viktoria Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
10%
5.41
X/2
12%
6.37
X/X
11%
5.04
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
21%
4.16
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund II v Viktoria Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -12%
1.30/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.32
-16% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.1 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Borussia Dortmund II vs Viktoria Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 3-5 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
09.02.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-3 HT 1-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
16.09.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
07.05.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
08.11.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 0-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
02.04.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3

Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Viktoria Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Köln
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
290 Passes 378
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II and Viktoria Köln shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 45% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.33 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Viktoria Köln?

Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 36%, draw 24%, Viktoria Köln 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Köln), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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