Western Knights 1-1 Perth RedStar FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.53
No
55%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
61%
-16.2pp
55%
BTTS No
39%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Knights EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth RedStar FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.75/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.28
+15% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Knights
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Perth RedStar FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
17.08.2024 Western Knights Western Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVNPL
25.05.2024 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Western Knights Western Knights AVNPL
27.01.2024 Western Knights Western Knights 4-5 HT 2-2 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC BAGS
POST-MATCH Western Knights vs Perth RedStar FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Knights and Perth RedStar FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Perth RedStar FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Perth RedStar FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Western Knights and 2.67 for Perth RedStar FC.

What was the final score of Western Knights vs Perth RedStar FC?

Western Knights 1-1 Perth RedStar FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Knights vs Perth RedStar FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perth RedStar FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Western Knights 27%, draw 25%, Perth RedStar FC 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Perth RedStar FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth RedStar FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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