Middelfart 1-3 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.28/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.24
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Akademisk BK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
15.06.2024 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
03.05.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 1-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
06.04.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-3 HT 0-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
23.09.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
17.10.2021 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-2 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
1-3
AWAY Akademisk BK
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK saw off Middelfart 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Middelfart at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Middelfart had 45% of the ball to Akademisk BK's 55%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Middelfart and 1.00 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Akademisk BK?

Middelfart 1-3 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 45%, draw 28%, Akademisk BK 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Middelfart) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
15 Mar 2025
00:00 FC Helsingor vs Aarhus Fremad Analysis →
15:00 Ishoj vs Nykobing Analysis →
16:00 Hellerup IK vs Thisted Analysis →
17:00 Fremad Amager vs Skive IK Analysis →