Holbaek 4-0 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 15 Mar 2025

Holbaek
4-0
Naesby
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Holbaek vs Naesby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.76
No
64%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
53%
-16.4pp
64%
BTTS No
47%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holbaek v Naesby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 38%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.44/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.29
-4% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Holbaek vs Naesby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Naesby
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Naesby Naesby 2-3 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
18.05.2024 Naesby Naesby 3-2 HT 1-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
27.04.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 3-2 HT 2-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
10.03.2024 Naesby Naesby 0-3 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
14.10.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 2-3 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
03.04.2021 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 HT 0-2 Naesby Naesby DAN2
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek ran out comfortable winners over Naesby 4-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Holbaek found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Holbaek and 2.00 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Naesby?

Holbaek 4-0 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 40%, draw 28%, Naesby 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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