Jeju United 1-3 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.98
6+ Goals
11%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.26
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
13%
6.06
X/2
16%
5.39
X/X
14%
4.22
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
13%
3.56
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 2-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
06.10.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
19.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
29.05.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.03.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 3-1 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
25.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-3
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
388 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen saw off Jeju United 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Daejeon Citizen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jeju United had 53% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 47%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeju United and 1.00 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Jeju United 1-3 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 37%, draw 27%, Daejeon Citizen 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jeju United) ✗ Under 2.5
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
15 Mar 2025
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