Guanacasteca 0-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.27
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
02.02.2025 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.10.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 4-0 HT 1-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
13.10.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
27.03.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.01.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-2 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
05.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
0-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos de Guapiles nicked a narrow win over Guanacasteca 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Santos de Guapiles made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 55% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 45%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.33 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Santos de Guapiles?

Guanacasteca 0-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 40%, draw 28%, Santos de Guapiles 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guanacasteca), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →