Crotone 0-1 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Mar 2026

Crotone
0-1 HT 0-0
Salernitana
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Crotone vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crotone v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.15/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/3.52
-14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0

Crotone vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Salernitana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.80 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
282 Passes 245
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.11.2025 Salernitana Salernitana 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
17.07.2020 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
15.12.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 3-2 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTB
10.03.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 0-2 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTB
28.10.2018 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
21.02.2016 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTB

Crotone 0-1 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
0-1
AWAY Salernitana
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana nicked a narrow win over Crotone 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Crotone had 63% of the ball to Salernitana's 37%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Crotone and 1.00 for Salernitana.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Salernitana?

Crotone 0-1 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie C on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Crotone 47%, draw 27%, Salernitana 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crotone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
15 Mar 2026
14:30 Forli vs Juventus II Analysis →
16:30 Triestina vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
16:30 Arezzo vs Perugia Analysis →
16:30 Gubbio vs Ascoli Analysis →
16:30 Team Altamura vs Catania Analysis →
16:30 Benevento vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →