Triestina 2-3 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
10%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.57/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.53
+36% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 3-1 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
15.02.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
05.10.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
20.01.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-2 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
16.09.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
21.01.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
2-3
AWAY Pro Vercelli
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli squeezed past Triestina 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Pro Vercelli made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Triestina had 60% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 40%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Triestina and 1.17 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Pro Vercelli?

Triestina 2-3 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Triestina 40%, draw 26%, Pro Vercelli 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Triestina), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
15 Mar 2026
14:30 Forli vs Juventus II Analysis →
14:30 Crotone vs Salernitana Analysis →
16:30 Arezzo vs Perugia Analysis →
16:30 Gubbio vs Ascoli Analysis →
16:30 Team Altamura vs Catania Analysis →
16:30 Benevento vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →