Benevento 1-0 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.25
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.51
No
51%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
76%
+1.9pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.4pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+0.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
36%
+13.3pp
51%
BTTS No
64%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.91/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.12
+6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
503 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.89 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
379 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-3 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
26.01.2025 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-2 HT 1-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
22.09.2024 Benevento Benevento 4-0 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
02.03.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
26.10.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
23.02.2019 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
1-0
AWAY Foggia Calcio
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento nicked a narrow win over Foggia Calcio 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benevento had 63% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 37%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Benevento and 0.50 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Foggia Calcio?

Benevento 1-0 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Benevento 78%, draw 14%, Foggia Calcio 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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