Foggia Calcio 0-3 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
60%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.39
6+ Goals
8%
12.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.39 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
60%
Away Win
64%
-4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 69%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.86/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.57
-3% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Benevento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2025 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-2 HT 1-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
22.09.2024 Benevento Benevento 4-0 HT 2-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
02.03.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
26.10.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
23.02.2019 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
30.09.2018 Benevento Benevento 1-3 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
0-3
AWAY Benevento
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento ran out comfortable winners over Foggia Calcio 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 40% of the ball to Benevento's 60%, shots finished 7-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benevento led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Foggia Calcio and 1.50 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Benevento?

Foggia Calcio 0-3 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 19%, draw 22%, Benevento 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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