Arezzo vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arezzo v Perugia — Team-Based Signals
Arezzo vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Perugia
İTC
3-0
HT 2-0
Arezzo
İTC
Arezzo 1-1 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics
Arezzo and Perugia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arezzo at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Arezzo had 64% of the ball to Perugia's 36%, shots finished 17-2.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arezzo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arezzo and 1.00 for Perugia.
What was the final score of Arezzo vs Perugia?
Arezzo 1-1 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Perugia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 56%, draw 23%, Perugia 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arezzo), BTTS No went the other way.