Santos 1-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 15 Mar 2026

Santos
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Corinthians
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Santos vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.65
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.1
6+
4%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.57
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
14%
5.39
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
22%
3.88
2/1
3%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.42
2/X
5%
12.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Santos v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Santos The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
1.11 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3

Santos vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 0.99
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 385
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.10.2025 Santos Santos 3-1 HT 2-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
18.05.2025 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
08.02.2024 Santos Santos 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
30.10.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
22.06.2023 Santos Santos 0-2 HT 0-2 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
26.02.2023 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU

Santos 1-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
1 - 1
AWAY Corinthians
0.89 xG 0.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
233 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Santos vs Corinthians
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Santos and Corinthians finished all square at 1-1.

A draw from a 38% / 33% / 29% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Corinthians saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.89 to 0.46.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Santos against 1.17 for Corinthians.

Santos vs Corinthians Result & Final Score

Santos 1 - 1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Santos vs Corinthians Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santos 38%, draw 33%, Corinthians 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
15 Mar 2026
00:30 Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →
02:30 Botafogo vs Flamengo Analysis →
22:00 Fluminense vs Atletico Paranaense Analysis →
22:00 Internacional vs Bahia Analysis →