Internacional 0-1 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.57
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.15
6+
6%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.34
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.44
X/2
8%
8.55
X/X
15%
5.12
2/1
3%
22.25
2/2
11%
6.46
2/X
5%
14.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Internacional The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.77 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
0.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.81
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Bad
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bahia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 447
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Internacional Internacional 2-2 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
23.10.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
29.05.2025 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia LKU
04.04.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional LKU
28.07.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
14.04.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
0 - 1
AWAY Bahia
1.65 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
306 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Internacional vs Bahia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bahia squeezed past Internacional 1-0 on the road.

File this under upsets: a 55% lean on Internacional went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Internacional's favour, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.65 to 0.84 — by the quality of chances, Internacional deserved more.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Internacional against 1.17 for Bahia.

Internacional vs Bahia Result & Final Score

Internacional 0 - 1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Internacional vs Bahia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Internacional 55%, draw 25%, Bahia 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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