Rennes 1-2 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 15 Mar 2026

Rennes
1 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Lille
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Rennes vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.78
Over
49%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.01
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.61
6+
5%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.08
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
15%
5.04
X/2
11%
6.78
X/X
18%
4.3
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.89
2/X
5%
12.9
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Rennes v Lille — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Rennes The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
1.21 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
Average Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Rennes vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lille
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 435
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.01.2026 Lille Lille 0-2 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
16.02.2025 Rennes Rennes 0-2 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
24.11.2024 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
10.03.2024 Lille Lille 2-2 HT 0-2 Rennes Rennes FR1
16.09.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-2 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
04.02.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-3 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1

Rennes 1-2 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
1 - 2
AWAY Lille
0.99 xG 1.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
493 Passes 315
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Rennes vs Lille
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lille shaded a tight game against Rennes 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 43% lean on Rennes didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.

Under the surface, Rennes had 59% of the ball to Lille's 41%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.99 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rennes and 1.67 for Lille.

Rennes vs Lille Result & Final Score

Rennes 1 - 2 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rennes vs Lille Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rennes 43%, draw 29%, Lille 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rennes), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026
17:00 RC Strasbourg vs Paris FC Analysis →
19:15 Le Havre vs Lyon Analysis →
19:15 Metz vs Toulouse Analysis →