Rennes 0-2 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 16 Feb 2025

Rennes
0-2 HT 0-0
Lille
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Rennes vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.55
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.45
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
11%
13.2
X/1
13%
6.06
X/2
9%
5.3
X/X
14%
3.9
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.62
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
+0.3pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rennes v Lille — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.08
+1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.9 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Rennes vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Lille
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.95 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
325 Passes 449
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
10.03.2024 Lille Lille 2-2 HT 0-2 Rennes Rennes FR1
16.09.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-2 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
04.02.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-3 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
06.11.2022 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
21.05.2022 Lille Lille 2-2 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FR1

Rennes 0-2 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
0-2
AWAY Lille
0.44 xG 3.18
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
263 Passes 473
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille got the better of Rennes 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Lille made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Rennes had 37% of the ball to Lille's 63%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.44 to 3.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rennes and 1.83 for Lille.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Lille?

Rennes 0-2 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Rennes 33%, draw 33%, Lille 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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