Le Havre 1-3 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 16 Feb 2025

Le Havre
1-3 HT 1-2
Nice
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Le Havre vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
47%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 26% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.21
1/2
6%
21.7
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
9%
10.45
X/2
12%
4.2
X/X
11%
5.55
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.04
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 61%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.27/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.89
-48% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
21.6 Crosses 20.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Le Havre vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.91
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
306 Passes 441
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
10.05.2024 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
16.12.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 3-1 HT 2-0 Nice Nice FR1
30.05.2009 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
13.01.2009 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FRLK
09.08.2008 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1

Le Havre 1-3 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
1-3
AWAY Nice
0.70 xG 1.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
377 Passes 409
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice beat Le Havre 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nice as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Le Havre had 49% of the ball to Nice's 51%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.70 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Le Havre and 0.83 for Nice.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Nice?

Le Havre 1-3 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 28%, draw 25%, Nice 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nice) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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