Lens 0-2 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
10%
4.59
X/2
11%
8.29
X/X
9%
5.18
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
18%
6.08
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.62/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.40
-19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.4 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
3W-2D-1L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
447 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 1-2 Lens Lens FR1
10.02.2024 Lens Lens 3-1 HT 2-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
29.09.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
07.04.2023 Lens Lens 2-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
11.01.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 2-2 Lens Lens FR1
03.04.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
0-2
AWAY RC Strasbourg
0.36 xG 2.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
479 Passes 396
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lens vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg beat Lens 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lens at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lens had 55% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 45%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.36 to 2.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lens and 1.17 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Lens vs RC Strasbourg?

Lens 0-2 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lens 43%, draw 22%, RC Strasbourg 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025
17:00 Montpellier vs Lyon Analysis →
19:15 Le Havre vs Nice Analysis →
19:15 Reims vs Angers Analysis →
22:45 Rennes vs Lille Analysis →