Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Garcilaso v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Lima traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.
A draw from a 34% / 33% / 33% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Alianza Lima saw more of the ball, 68% to 32%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.30 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Deportivo Garcilaso against 2.17 for Alianza Lima.
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Result & Final Score
Deportivo Garcilaso 1 - 1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Lima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 34%, draw 33%, Alianza Lima 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), BTTS No went the other way.