Paradiso 1-1 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 15 Apr 2026

📅15/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.89
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
49%
+8.0pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradiso EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.40/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.13
-33% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradiso
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Lugano II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Lugano II Lugano II 2-2 HT 1-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
26.04.2025 Lugano II Lugano II 1-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
30.11.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 2-1 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
09.03.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
02.09.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 2-1 HT 0-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Paradiso vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradiso and Lugano II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Paradiso carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paradiso had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Paradiso and 1.20 for Lugano II.

What was the final score of Paradiso vs Lugano II?

Paradiso 1-1 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradiso vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradiso win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paradiso 57%, draw 19%, Lugano II 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paradiso), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paradiso) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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