Sport Boys 1-3 Melgar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 15 Apr 2026

Sport Boys
1 - 3 HT 0 - 3
Melgar
📅15/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2026

Sport Boys vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.06
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Sport Boys v Melgar — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sport Boys The Market 49%
Signal
AWAY Melgar The Market 32%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
1.15 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2

Sport Boys vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Melgar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.46 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
229 Passes 320
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2025 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-0 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
14.06.2025 Melgar Melgar 2-1 HT 0-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
18.10.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-2 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
05.05.2024 Melgar Melgar 2-1 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
31.07.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-2 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
12.05.2023 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER

Sport Boys 1-3 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
1 - 3
AWAY Melgar
1.72 xG 2.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
295 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 29
36 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Sport Boys vs Melgar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Melgar got the better of Sport Boys 3-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Boys at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, possession split 59% to 41% in Sport Boys's favour, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.72 to 2.88.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Sport Boys against 1.67 for Melgar.

Sport Boys vs Melgar Result & Final Score

Sport Boys 1 - 3 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sport Boys vs Melgar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 44%, draw 27%, Melgar 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sport Boys), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Boys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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