Philadelphia Union 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 May 2025

Philadelphia Union
3-2 HT 0-2
Los Angeles Galaxy
📅15/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.24
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
15%
4.35
X/2
7%
9.37
X/X
11%
5.42
2/1 EV+ ✓
8%
22.45
2/2
11%
7.27
2/X
8%
15.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Philadelphia Union v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.97/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.91
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.4 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.02 xG 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 398
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-1 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
14.04.2019 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 HT 2-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
22.07.2018 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-3 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
30.04.2017 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
12.05.2016 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
21.06.2015 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 5-1 HT 2-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD

Philadelphia Union 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
3-2
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.93 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
329 Passes 247
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
40 Box Touches 14
38 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union nicked a narrow win over Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 57% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 43%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 1.93 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Philadelphia Union and 2.50 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Philadelphia Union 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 50%, draw 26%, Los Angeles Galaxy 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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