CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.31/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.50
+7% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 83%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
20.0 Crosses 12.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.44 xG 1.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 485
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
16.05.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-3 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
28.04.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
22.10.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 1-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
03.09.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-4 HT 0-3 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
10.09.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
1-1
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.24 xG 1.94
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
376 Passes 555
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 25
3 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal and Columbus Crew couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 41% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 59%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.24 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CF Montreal and 2.17 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?

CF Montreal 1-1 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 41%, draw 26%, Columbus Crew 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Montreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ Under 2.5
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