Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nashville SC v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Nashville SC
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
New York Red Bulls
ABD
Nashville SC 2-1 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC squeezed past New York Red Bulls 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Nashville SC had 45% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 55%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.91 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nashville SC's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Nashville SC and 0.67 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?
Nashville SC 2-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 48%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.