Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v FC Cincinnati — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-2
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
Toronto FC 0-1 FC Cincinnati — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati squeezed past Toronto FC 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Cincinnati found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Toronto FC had 49% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 51%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.55 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Toronto FC and 2.33 for FC Cincinnati.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Toronto FC 0-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 36%, draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.