St Patricks 0-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.43
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.17
X/2
6%
8.35
X/X
9%
4.44
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
6.99
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.52/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.02
+13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.3 Crosses 11.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
337 Passes 384
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.03.2026 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-3 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
01.11.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
17.08.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
16.06.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
09.05.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 2-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
04.04.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
0-1
AWAY Shelbourne
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
FAQ St Patricks vs Shelbourne
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Shelbourne edged past St Patricks 1-0 away from home in the Ireland - Premier League on 15 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, St Patricks had 62% of the ball to Shelbourne's 38%, shots finished 9-5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St Patricks and 0.83 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Shelbourne?

St Patricks 0-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 53%, draw 22%, Shelbourne 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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