Waterford FC vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Waterford FC v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Waterford FC vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Waterford FC 2-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Waterford FC and Derry City finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Derry City carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Derry City saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.15 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Waterford FC against 2.67 for Derry City.
Waterford FC vs Derry City Result & Final Score
Waterford FC 2 - 2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Waterford FC vs Derry City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 21%, draw 24%, Derry City 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.