Waterford FC vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Waterford FC v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Waterford FC vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Waterford FC 2-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Waterford FC and Derry City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Waterford FC had 37% of the ball to Derry City's 63%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.15 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Waterford FC and 2.67 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Derry City?
Waterford FC 2-2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 23%, draw 24%, Derry City 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5 went the other way.