Bohemians vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bohemians v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals
Bohemians vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bohemians 2-1 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics
Bohemians squeezed past Drogheda United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Bohemians had 71% of the ball to Drogheda United's 29%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.92 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bohemians's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bohemians and 0.83 for Drogheda United.
What was the final score of Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
Bohemians 2-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Drogheda United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 62%, draw 20%, Drogheda United 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.