Drogheda United 1-4 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
5.1
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.5
X/1
15%
6.96
X/2
14%
4.93
X/X
17%
4.53
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.98
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.13/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.25
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 69%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.2 Crosses 21.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bohemians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.80 xG 1.20
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
140 Passes 416
55% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
23.05.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
03.03.2025 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
20.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
02.08.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
19.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-4
AWAY Bohemians
0.85 xG 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
184 Passes 192
59% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians cruised past Drogheda United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Drogheda United had 52% of the ball to Bohemians's 48%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.85 to 2.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drogheda United and 0.50 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Drogheda United 1-4 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 27%, draw 27%, Bohemians 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
1 Nov 2025
19:30 Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
19:30 Waterford FC vs Galway United Analysis →
19:30 Shelbourne vs St Patricks Analysis →
19:30 Cork City vs Derry City Analysis →