Shamrock Rovers 1-2 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.4
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.37
X/2
11%
6.26
X/X
13%
4.51
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
11%
4.32
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.95/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.29
-31% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
219 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
16.0 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.74 xG 0.74
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
469 Passes 231
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.07.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-2 HT 2-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.03.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
13.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
28.06.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
12.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-2
AWAY Sligo Rovers
0.42 xG 2.23
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
562 Passes 229
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers squeezed past Shamrock Rovers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 68% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 32%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.42 to 2.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sligo Rovers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.00 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Shamrock Rovers 1-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 42%, draw 29%, Sligo Rovers 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
1 Nov 2025
19:30 Waterford FC vs Galway United Analysis →
19:30 Shelbourne vs St Patricks Analysis →
19:30 Cork City vs Derry City Analysis →
19:30 Drogheda United vs Bohemians Analysis →