Cork City 0-1 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
54%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
10.15
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
5%
18.95
X/1
8%
11.5
X/2
12%
3.86
X/X
12%
5.16
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
34%
1.95
2/X
8%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
54%
Away Win
60%
-6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 64%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -24%
0.75/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.05
-18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
233 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.9 Crosses 23.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Derry City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.60 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
216 Passes 308
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.08.2025 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
09.05.2025 Cork City Cork City 1-2 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
04.04.2025 Derry City Derry City 2-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
16.08.2024 Cork City Cork City 0-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRK
27.10.2023 Cork City Cork City 0-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
23.06.2023 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
0-1
AWAY Derry City
0.20 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
307 Passes 359
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City edged past Cork City 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cork City had 47% of the ball to Derry City's 53%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.20 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cork City and 1.33 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Derry City?

Cork City 0-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cork City 21%, draw 25%, Derry City 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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