Waterford FC 1-1 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
12%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.97
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
1/X
8%
11.9
X/1
10%
6.12
X/2
18%
5.92
X/X
14%
4.32
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
15%
3.77
2/X
6%
11.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.24/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.92
+14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
23.4 Crosses 25.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Galway United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
262 Passes 189
68% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.07.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-4 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
09.05.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
14.03.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
27.09.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
12.07.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
12.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-1
AWAY Galway United
1.59 xG 1.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 160
77% Pass Accuracy 61%
30 Box Touches 24
34 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC and Galway United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Galway United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Waterford FC had 62% of the ball to Galway United's 38%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.59 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waterford FC and 1.00 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Galway United?

Waterford FC 1-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 32%, draw 27%, Galway United 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galway United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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