Galway United 2-4 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.63
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
13%
4.69
X/2
13%
7.84
X/X
9%
5.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.75
2/2
14%
5.8
2/X
7%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.75 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.25/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.60
-29% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
231 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 71%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.6 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.93 xG 0.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
198 Passes 261
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
14.03.2025 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
27.09.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
12.07.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
12.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
01.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
2-4
AWAY Waterford FC
1.83 xG 2.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
180 Passes 228
60% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 21
31 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC beat Galway United 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Galway United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Galway United had 47% of the ball to Waterford FC's 53%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.83 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Galway United and 0.50 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Waterford FC?

Galway United 2-4 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Galway United 45%, draw 22%, Waterford FC 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galway United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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