Derry City vs Bohemians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Bohemians — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Bohemians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 1-1 Bohemians — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City and Bohemians shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Derry City had 50% of the ball to Bohemians's 50%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.01 to 0.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Derry City and 0.50 for Bohemians.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Bohemians?
Derry City 1-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Derry City 46%, draw 25%, Bohemians 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No went the other way.