Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk nicked a narrow win over Shamrock Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We leaned Shamrock Rovers at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The one blemish: both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Dundalk had 31% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 69%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.44 to 1.44 — on chances, Shamrock Rovers could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dundalk and 0.83 for Shamrock Rovers.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Result & Final Score
Dundalk 1 - 0 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 31%, draw 28%, Shamrock Rovers 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.