Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Shamrock Rovers
İRL
1-0
HT 0-0
Dundalk
İRL
Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk nicked a narrow win over Shamrock Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 35% / 37% — and on the day Dundalk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
On the day, Dundalk had 31% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 69%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.44 to 1.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Shamrock Rovers.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dundalk and 0.83 for Shamrock Rovers.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 28%, draw 35%, Shamrock Rovers 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) went the other way.