Confiança 0-3 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Confiança EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 51%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.06
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
Crosses 15.6
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Confiança
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gremio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.25 xG 2.48
31% Ball Possession 69%
3 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 11
171 Passes 508
75% Pass Accuracy 91%
4 Box Touches 39
3 Crosses 46
22.04.2026 Gremio Gremio 2-0 HT 0-0 Confiança Confiança BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Confiança
0-3
AWAY Gremio
0.48 xG 2.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
418 Passes 421
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Confiança vs Gremio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio swept aside Confiança 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Confiança had 51% of the ball to Gremio's 49%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.48 to 2.21.

What was the final score of Confiança vs Gremio?

Confiança 0-3 Gremio in the Brazil - Cup on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Confiança vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Confiança 23%, draw 31%, Gremio 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gremio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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