Vitoria 2-0 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 49%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.48/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.99
-27% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +147%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
14.5 Crosses 11.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.76 xG 1.84
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
278 Passes 527
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2026 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BRK
11.02.2026 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
26.08.2025 Flamengo Flamengo 8-0 HT 3-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
07.04.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
08.12.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-2 HT 0-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
25.07.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
2-0
AWAY Flamengo
0.31 xG 2.30
26% Ball Possession 74%
5 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
142 Passes 512
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 43
4 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria got the better of Flamengo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vitoria had 26% of the ball to Flamengo's 74%, shots finished 5-26, expected goals 0.31 to 2.30 — on chances, Flamengo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria and 3.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Flamengo?

Vitoria 2-0 Flamengo in the Brazil - Cup on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 30%, draw 25%, Flamengo 45%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5
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