Flamengo vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria
BR1
Flamengo 2-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo edged past Vitoria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Flamengo had 61% of the ball to Vitoria's 39%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.71 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Flamengo and 0.83 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Vitoria?
Flamengo 2-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Cup on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 65%, draw 19%, Vitoria 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.