Fortaleza 2-1 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 27%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.45
+75% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 21.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
5W-0D-1L
AWAY CRB
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.93 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
389 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BRCDN
04.08.2021 CRB CRB 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BRK
29.07.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BRK
04.03.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BRCDN
22.08.2018 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR2
25.04.2018 Fortaleza Fortaleza 3-1 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
2-1
AWAY CRB
0.40 xG 0.73
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
448 Passes 194
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fortaleza vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza nicked a narrow win over CRB 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortaleza had 66% of the ball to CRB's 34%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.40 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fortaleza and 0.67 for CRB.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs CRB?

Fortaleza 2-1 CRB in the Brazil - Cup on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 46%, draw 32%, CRB 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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