Santos 0-0 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
55%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.60/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/2.00
+0% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.2 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Coritiba
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.39 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
352 Passes 317
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2024 Coritiba Coritiba 0-2 HT 0-2 Santos Santos BR2
23.07.2024 Santos Santos 4-0 HT 2-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
27.10.2023 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
10.06.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
09.08.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-2 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
13.05.2022 Santos Santos 3-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
0-0
AWAY Coritiba
0.87 xG 0.71
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
373 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santos vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos and Coritiba played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Santos carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Santos had 55% of the ball to Coritiba's 45%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Santos and 0.33 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Santos vs Coritiba?

Santos 0-0 Coritiba in the Brazil - Cup on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Santos 57%, draw 23%, Coritiba 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5
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