Santos vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Coritiba
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
1-2
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
3-0
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BRK
Santos 0-0 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Santos and Coritiba played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
This one beat our numbers. Santos carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Santos had 55% of the ball to Coritiba's 45%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Santos and 0.33 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Santos vs Coritiba?
Santos 0-0 Coritiba in the Brazil - Cup on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Santos 57%, draw 23%, Coritiba 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.