Bragantino 1-1 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
37.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
43.4 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.37 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
350 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2026 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
02.10.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino BR1
06.05.2025 Bragantino 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
12.02.2023 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BRPL1
28.01.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BREPAU
18.04.2021 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-1
AWAY Mirassol FC
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
403 Passes 213
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and Mirassol FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bragantino at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bragantino had 62% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 38%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bragantino and 0.83 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Mirassol FC?

Bragantino 1-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Cup on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 56%, draw 25%, Mirassol FC 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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