Goias 2-2 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 52%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.47/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.60
-19% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +68%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
20.4 Crosses 21.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 1.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
255 Passes 412
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2023 Goias Goias 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
23.07.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
08.09.2021 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
13.06.2021 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR2
01.10.2019 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
05.05.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
2-2
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.68 xG 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
420 Passes 356
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Goias vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias and Cruzeiro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 53% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 47%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 0.68 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Goias and 0.83 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Goias vs Cruzeiro?

Goias 2-2 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Cup on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Goias 30%, draw 25%, Cruzeiro 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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