Chapecoense 2-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 15 May 2026

Chapecoense
2-0 HT 2-0
Botafogo
📅15/05/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2026

Chapecoense vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chapecoense v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.18/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.99
-68% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
24.5 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.7

Chapecoense vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Botafogo
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 Passes 343
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2026 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BRK
19.04.2026 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-4 HT 1-3 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
28.11.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.08.2019 Botafogo Botafogo 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
15.11.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
27.07.2018 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1

Chapecoense 2-0 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
2-0
AWAY Botafogo
0.60 xG 1.92
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
211 Passes 445
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 42
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense got the better of Botafogo 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chapecoense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chapecoense had 34% of the ball to Botafogo's 66%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.60 to 1.92 — on chances, Botafogo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Chapecoense and 1.33 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Botafogo?

Chapecoense 2-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Cup on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 40%, draw 25%, Botafogo 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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