Corinthians 1-0 Barra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-5.7pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.5pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Barra EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.9 Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Barra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.35 xG 0.64
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
484 Passes 206
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 5
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.04.2026 Barra Barra 0-1 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
1-0
AWAY Barra
1.60 xG 0.09
70% Ball Possession 30%
27 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
597 Passes 160
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Barra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians squeezed past Barra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Corinthians had 70% of the ball to Barra's 30%, shots finished 27-3, expected goals 1.60 to 0.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Corinthians's control.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Barra?

Corinthians 1-0 Barra in the Brazil - Cup on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Barra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 65%, draw 19%, Barra 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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