Sochaux 2-2 Le Puy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
8%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.07
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.5
X/1
23%
4.12
X/2
5%
10.1
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.65
2/2
11%
8.11
2/X
5%
16.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.65 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Puy EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.33/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.60
-19% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Le Puy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.08.2025 Le Puy Le Puy 0-1 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sochaux
2-2
AWAY Le Puy
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Le Puy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux and Le Puy couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sochaux at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sochaux had 58% of the ball to Le Puy's 42%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Le Puy?

Sochaux 2-2 Le Puy in the France - National League 1 on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Le Puy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 59%, draw 20%, Le Puy 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sochaux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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