Valenciennes vs Chateauroux Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valenciennes v Chateauroux — Team-Based Signals
Valenciennes vs Chateauroux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-0
Valenciennes
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Chateauroux
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Chateauroux
FR2
Valenciennes and Chateauroux couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Chateauroux at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valenciennes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valenciennes and 1.00 for Chateauroux.
What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Chateauroux?
Valenciennes 2-2 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Chateauroux?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 25%, draw 28%, Chateauroux 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.