Dijon 3-2 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 15 May 2026

Dijon
3-2 HT 1-0
Orleans
📅15/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Dijon vs Orleans Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
49%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
2.98
6+ Goals
7%
9.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.16
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.33
X/2
13%
9.45
X/X
12%
5.4
2/1
5%
21.8
2/2 EV+ ✗
18%
7.18
2/X
5%
15.05
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.18 — our 18% vs market 10.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+10.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.1pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dijon v Orleans — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.62/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.18
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Dijon vs Orleans Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Orleans
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.08.2025 Orleans Orleans 1-2 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
07.03.2025 Dijon Dijon 2-2 HT 1-2 Orleans Orleans FR3
04.10.2024 Orleans Orleans 1-1 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
12.04.2024 Dijon Dijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Orleans Orleans FR3
10.11.2023 Orleans Orleans 1-2 HT 1-2 Dijon Dijon FR3
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon squeezed past Orleans 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dijon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dijon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Dijon and 1.00 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Orleans?

Dijon 3-2 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dijon 43%, draw 22%, Orleans 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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